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政府統計の総合窓口のデータや、OECDやUCIやのデータを使って、Rの練習をしています。ときどき、読書記録も載せています。

OECD Threatened species data analysis 5 - Bootstrap for Cinfidence Interval

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 In this blog, I will show you how to get confidence interval with bootstrap method.

for BIRD, 95% confidence interval is 18.1 ~ 25.3 by parametric calculation.

average ± qt(0.975, d.f.)*S.E.

f:id:cross_hyou:20210523080014p:plain

We will calculate it with bootstrap method.

1. make a vector for BIRD.

f:id:cross_hyou:20210523080449p:plain

2. decide how many times calculate average

f:id:cross_hyou:20210523080630p:plain

I set it 100,000 times.

3. make a vector to stroe averages

f:id:cross_hyou:20210523080909p:plain

4. make a function to draw random samples and calculate averages.

f:id:cross_hyou:20210523081415p:plain

let's check if the function works well.

f:id:cross_hyou:20210523081705p:plain

we see 1st, 2nd and 3rd are different value, it means the function works fine.

5. use for() function to makes averages.

f:id:cross_hyou:20210523082150p:plain

6. use quantile() to get confidence interval

f:id:cross_hyou:20210523082433p:plain

That's it.

Let's make a histogram for results and vertical lines for confidence intervals.

f:id:cross_hyou:20210523083209p:plain

f:id:cross_hyou:20210523083250p:plain

The red vertical line is average, 

the blue vertical lines are confidence interval by parametric and 

the green vertical lines are confidence interval by bootstrap.

Thank you.

 

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